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A low pressure system will move over Ireland from the South on Sunday into Monday and could bring very heavy rain to the South East.

The GFS model is forecasting almost 90mm falling in parts of the South East in a 24 hour period. Waterford would see the highest amounts with substancial amounts in surrounding counties.

This would likely cause very bad flooding and would be in the Red Warning Criteria.

Fortunately other weather models are not agreeing with this amounts of rain falling and models are also not in agreement on the exact area of rainfall.

The ECMWF model shows the rain path avoiding Ireland and moving towards the UK. Whereas the UKMO model shows the South West Coast of Ireland possibly seeing 30mm so plenty of uncertainty remains.

Please keep an eye on forecasts by Weather Alerts Ireland over the next couple of days!

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